Expert Chaslau Koniukh
  • Companies
  • Global investment
  • Investors
  • Terminology
  • Economy
  • Stock Market
  • World exchanges
  • Tech and Marketing
future of the ruble exchange rate
Analytics

Analyst at BCS World Investment described the future of the ruble exchange rate

19.04.2021
2 min read

What awaits the national currency: the future of the ruble by the end of 2021

Last year, the pandemic hit the ruble hard. Global changes and the local crisis led to the collapse of the national currency, while the instability on the oil market prevented a quick recovery. Analyst of “BCS World of Investments” described the future of the ruble exchange rate, he estimated the position of the Russian money until the end of this year.
According to the expert, the national currency is greatly influenced by the processes in other countries, as well as pressure from influential states on the world stage.
There are regular threats of sanctions against Russia and its rulers, the situation in the countries bordering on Russia is also making things worse. Assistance to the latter is negatively perceived by the European Union and the United States, which insist that Moscow change its policy towards them. All this is reflected in the development of Russian economy and hinders implementation of several projects in the energy sector. According to an analyst from BCS Investment World, it is the geopolitical factor that affects the ruble exchange rate and the evaluation of the country’s financial assets. And the high cost of oil and gas supports the national currency, but it is not strong enough.
The expert highlighted two scenarios. According to the first scenario, the U.S. will impose further sanctions against Russia, which will lead to a change in the exchange rate. The dollar will cost 80 rubles and the euro – about 94 rubles. After some time, the national currency will strengthen its position. The second scenario assumes that commodity markets will grow, and with them the attractiveness of Russian financial assets. This would force foreign investors to take a closer look at the local segment, which even the threat of sanctions would not be able to prevent.

future of the ruble exchange rate

The analyst is confident that the weakening of the ruble rate is short-lived, and it will strengthen in the near future. In addition, the fluctuation of the national currency cannot be used to judge the overall macroeconomic performance of the state, as the Russian money will strengthen in the long run.
At the end of last year there was an increase in inflation. It reached a level of 3.9% in autumn, which came close to the intended value. Earlier, the Central Bank said that annual inflation will be around 4%, and this figure will remain for the next two years. The same figure was announced by the President of Russia; he noted that the country has generally survived the pandemic favorably in comparison with a number of states of the European Union.
In addition, the economy is recovering, there has been a positive trend for several months in a row, which makes it possible to make optimistic forecasts. However, it is worth understanding that the threat of sanctions and pressure from other powers are factors that can disrupt the growth rate, so we should build a certain margin of safety in case geopolitical processes affect it.

Tags: Analytics
0
Previous Post Law on categorization of investors: review of changes in the document Next Post Moscow Exchange plans to expand its range of financial instruments

You Might Also Like

The global financial crisis
Analytics
An analyst at Finam: should we expect a global financial crisis?
16.10.2021
oil demand will peak
Analytics
S&P Global Platts: oil demand will grow until 2040
03.02.2022
dollar collapse
Analytics
Expert from BCS Investment World talks about the dollar collapse
30.11.2021
long-term bonds
Analytics
How attractive are long-term bonds: the opinion of analysts
28.07.2021
the best currency for savings
Analytics
BKS Broker: the best currency for savings
28.02.2021
Oil demand forecast
Analytics
Rystad Energy’s 10-year oil demand forecast
04.05.2021

Popular Posts

  • Li Ka Shing: How can success be achieved without money and education?
  • Skolkovo analysts: the Russian energy market is suffering losses
  • Ingeborg Mootz: a woman who became a stock player at the age of 75
  • Analysts: Egypt’s economy to continue falling in 2023

Editor's Picks

Chaslau Koniukh
Analytics

American bankers from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs advise to invest in gold: review by Chaslau Koniukh.

Spokesperson
17.08.2020
Expert Chaslau Koniukh
Analytics

Chaslau Koniukh on the analysts’ opinion on the key stake size change soon

Spokesperson
18.06.2020
expert Chaslau Koniukh
Analytics

Chaslau Koniukh: Internet trade market in Russia may reach 2.78 trillion rubles.

Spokesperson
30.05.2020
Will the U.S. oil shale industry be able to quickly recover from the crisis: A Review by Chaslau Koniukh
Analytics

Will the U.S. oil shale industry be able to quickly recover from the crisis: A Review by Chaslau Koniukh

Spokesperson
16.05.2020

Popular Posts

  • Li Ka Shing: How can success be achieved without money and education?
  • Skolkovo analysts: the Russian energy market is suffering losses
  • Ingeborg Mootz: a woman who became a stock player at the age of 75
  • Analysts: Egypt’s economy to continue falling in 2023
  • Businessman Chuck Feeney: the man who gave the world Duty Free
Expert Chaslau Koniukh
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram

© 2024 CHASLAU KONIUKH. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Expert in marketing and project management, international investments, financial analyst.

Menu

  • Biography
  • Companies and corporations
  • Global investment
  • Investors and Entrepreneurs
  • Economy
  • Market terminology
  • Stock Market
  • World exchanges
  • Tech and Marketing
  • Analytics